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@ulty

Expert in

First trade Sep 30, 20250xb4b0…e14cView on PolymarketUpdated 92d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 89th pct
Edge: 9th pct
Win Rate: 64th pct
Max Drawdown: 73rd pct
Consistency: 79th pct
Track Record: 43rd pct

Volume traded

$87,039.78

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

62.8%

Fees charged: $43.50
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $43.50
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $3,723.13

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-08 21:01:16 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

50 total

Market				To win
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes	50.0¢50.5¢	200	$100$101	$200	+$1.00Timeline
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	26.9¢24.5¢	372	$100$91.08	$371.75	-$8.92Timeline
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? NoClosed	79.4¢$1.00	252	$200$251.88	—	+$0.00Timeline
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? NoClosed	82.0¢$1.00	1,829	$1,500$1,829.27	—	+$0.00Timeline
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals YesClosed	49.0¢$1.00	41	$20$40.82	—	+$0.00Timeline
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No positionClosed	3.9¢—	28,596	$1,115.23—	—	-$40.77Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No positionClosed	55.0¢—	3,300	$1,816.66—	—	+$707.66Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? No positionClosed	64.0¢—	9,306	$5,955.75—	—	+$657.18Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	43.0¢—	5,408	$2,325.58—	—	+$1,162.79Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? No positionClosed	61.9¢—	4,699	$2,908.21—	—	+$273.80Timeline