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@ubv

Expert in

First trade May 1, 20260x9763…722dView on PolymarketUpdated 1d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 81st pct
Win Rate: 58th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 46th pct
Track Record: 1st pct

Volume traded

$11,739.39

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

100.0%

Fees charged: $140.19
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $140.19
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $10
Net realized P&L: $854.60

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-12 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

8 total

Market				To win
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes	70.6¢67.5¢	1,413	$997.01$953.50	$1,412.59	-$43.51Timeline
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No	57.0¢—	1,500	$855$652.50	$1,500	-$202.50Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? No	70.5¢—	326	$230.23$142	$326.43	-$88.23Timeline
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes	62.5¢8.5¢	1,000	$624.71$85	$1,000	-$539.71Timeline
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes	61.0¢57.5¢	1,639	$1,000$942.62	$1,639.34	-$57.38Timeline
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	59.6¢—	1,871	$1,115.17—	—	+$755.52Timeline
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	59.7¢—	1,734	$1,036.15—	—	+$81.26Timeline
Trump out as President before 2027? No positionClosed	87.0¢—	261	$226.77—	—	+$7.82Timeline