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@tzquantalpha001

Expert in

First trade Jun 5, 20260x5923…49cdView on PolymarketUpdated 1d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 83rd pct
Edge: 57th pct
Win Rate: 83rd pct
Max Drawdown: 87th pct
Consistency: 74th pct
Downside Risk: 86th pct
Track Record: 80th pct

Volume traded

$267,919.33

Predictions

745

Rank

—

Win rate

67.1%

Fees charged: $389.47
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $389.47
Maker rebates: $21.84
Taker rebates: $2.97
Net realized P&L: $1,211.50

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-16 03:57:22 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

744 total

Market				To win
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	76.0¢74.5¢	32	$24.16$23.68	$31.79	-$0.47Timeline
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No	77.0¢—	10	$7.62$7.47	$9.90	-$0.15Timeline
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	83.5¢75.5¢	337	$281.39$254.32	$336.85	-$27.08Timeline
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? NoMergeable	14.0¢13.5¢	52	$7.27$7.01	—	-$0.26Timeline
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? YesMergeable	82.7¢86.5¢	0	$0.32$0.34	—	+$0.01Timeline
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? Yes	73.0¢70.5¢	11	$8.29$8	$11.35	-$0.28Timeline
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? No	89.9¢—	62	$55.83$57.29	$62.10	+$1.46Timeline
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	4.0¢5.1¢	179	$7.11$9.02	$178.61	+$1.91Timeline
Trump out as President before 2027? No	94.7¢—	2	$1.91$1.89	$2.02	-$0.02Timeline
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? Yes	70.1¢72.9¢	8	$5.47$5.69	$7.81	+$0.22Timeline
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? NoMergeable	84.0¢71.5¢	160	$134.19$114.15	—	-$20.03Timeline
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? YesMergeable	27.0¢28.5¢	92	$24.76$26.13	—	+$1.38Timeline