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@tychia

Expert in

First trade Apr 6, 20260xf634…05d0View on PolymarketUpdated 6d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 88th pct
Win Rate: 15th pct
Max Drawdown: 69th pct
Consistency: 51st pct
Track Record: 8th pct

Volume traded

$16,455.54

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

42.9%

Fees charged: $31
Fee refunds: $12.58
Fees paid: $18.42
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $3,325.80

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

11 total

Market				To win
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? Yes	10.0¢3.7¢	2,000	$200$74	$2,000	-$126.00Timeline
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes	83.0¢40.5¢	6	$5$2.44	$6.02	-$2.56Timeline
Will CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes	29.5¢25.5¢	34	$10$8.61	$33.84	-$1.39Timeline
Will Guy Young appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes	42.0¢35.4¢	24	$10$8.43	$23.81	-$1.57Timeline
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? No positionClosed	8.0¢—	23,438	$1,875—	—	+$1,357.56Timeline
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? No positionClosed	19.9¢—	11,385	$2,263.42—	—	+$1,722.98Timeline
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? No positionClosed	16.7¢—	13,115	$2,187.58—	—	-$51.35Timeline
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch? No positionClosed	15.5¢—	910	$140.87—	—	-$140.87Timeline
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 14? No positionClosed	39.7¢—	87	$34.62—	—	-$28.21Timeline
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 13? No positionClosed	30.9¢—	582	$180—	—	-$113.52Timeline