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@trip66

Expert in

First trade Feb 17, 20260x098b…bdbcView on PolymarketUpdated 22d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 44th pct
Edge: 33rd pct
Win Rate: 66th pct
Consistency: 1st pct
Downside Risk: 20th pct
Track Record: 89th pct

Volume traded

$6,283.77

Predictions

862

Rank

—

Win rate

52.1%

Fees charged: $200.22
Fee refunds: $166.63
Fees paid: $33.59
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$164.38

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 23:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

862 total

Market				To win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes	3.7¢3.9¢	69	$2.57$2.67	$69.46	+$0.10Timeline
Will Tommy Paul Win the Cincinnati Open? No positionClosed	18.4¢—	11	$2—	—	-$2.08Timeline
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No positionClosed	62.7¢—	3	$2.03—	—	+$0.20Timeline
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No positionClosed	81.6¢—	2	$1.23—	—	+$0.20Timeline
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? No positionClosed	72.0¢—	4	$2.78—	—	+$0.58Timeline
Iran full airspace closure by July 15? No positionClosed	80.0¢—	3	$2.50—	—	+$0.50Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12? No positionClosed	46.0¢—	2	$1—	—	-$1.04Timeline
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No positionClosed	63.0¢—	4	$2.53—	—	-$2.53Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? No positionClosed	16.0¢—	6	$1—	—	-$1.06Timeline
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No positionClosed	81.0¢—	3	$2.47—	—	+$0.03Timeline