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Expert in

First trade Nov 18, 20250x133d…cb66View on PolymarketUpdated 38d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 42nd pct
Edge: 1st pct
Win Rate: 28th pct
Consistency: 29th pct
Downside Risk: 42nd pct
Track Record: 46th pct

Volume traded

$4,163.73

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

38.0%

Fees charged: $0.21
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0.21
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$251.40

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-06-30 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

50 total

Market				To win
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week? No positionClosed	68.0¢—	7	$4.75—	—	-$4.75Timeline
Will Trump say "Messi" this week? No positionClosed	23.1¢—	21	$4.75—	—	-$4.75Timeline
Will Trump say "Thank" or "Please" 20+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	4	$2—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? No positionClosed	52.3¢—	15	$7.95—	—	-$7.95Timeline
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? No positionClosed	82.4¢—	148	$122.22—	—	+$21.52Timeline
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? No positionClosed	93.0¢—	116	$107.94—	—	+$7.56Timeline
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? No positionClosed	84.7¢—	147	$124.33—	—	+$19.01Timeline
Will Powell say "Assumption" during January press conference? No positionClosed	26.8¢—	21	$5.64—	—	-$5.64Timeline
Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference? No positionClosed	46.0¢—	11	$5.28—	—	-$5.28Timeline
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference? No positionClosed	17.0¢—	30	$5.13—	—	-$5.13Timeline

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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