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@tracy45

Expert in

First trade Nov 19, 20240xcb9a…ac7cView on PolymarketUpdated 52d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 71st pct
Edge: 42nd pct
Win Rate: 73rd pct
Max Drawdown: 73rd pct
Consistency: 59th pct
Downside Risk: 70th pct
Track Record: 55th pct

Volume traded

$5,727.25

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

64.9%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $49.66

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-04-02 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

74 total

Market				To win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	2	$2.07—	—	+$0.00Timeline
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	95.7¢—	2	$1.89—	—	+$0.08Timeline
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? No positionClosed	98.1¢—	1	$1.09—	—	+$0.02Timeline
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No positionClosed	98.7¢—	1	$1.01—	—	+$0.01Timeline
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	2	$1.70—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? No positionClosed	6.3¢—	763	$48.10—	—	-$3.03Timeline
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? No positionClosed	95.3¢—	6	$5.26—	—	+$0.25Timeline
Will a dozen eggs be between $5.00-5.25 in May? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	2	$1.54—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	1	$1.19—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	2	$1.75—	—	+$0.00Timeline