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@topchews

Expert in

First trade Jan 31, 20260xf427…15e1View on PolymarketUpdated 14d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 88th pct
Edge: 82nd pct
Win Rate: 83rd pct
Max Drawdown: 86th pct
Consistency: 86th pct
Downside Risk: 87th pct
Track Record: 46th pct

Volume traded

$54,630.26

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

76.0%

Fees charged: $14.91
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $14.91
Maker rebates: $24.58
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $3,360.99

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-01 21:16:13 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

51 total

Market				To win
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? Yes	18.0¢8.7¢	55	$9.90$4.76	$55	-$5.14Timeline
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? No positionClosed	39.8¢—	13	$5—	—	-$1,301.49Timeline
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? No positionClosed	67.1¢—	2,533	$1,700.95—	—	+$829.01Timeline
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026? No positionClosed	80.6¢—	248	$200.01—	—	+$48.15Timeline
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by August 31, 2026? No positionClosed	20.6¢—	733	$150.60—	—	-$27.64Timeline
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026? No positionClosed	11.2¢—	1,656	$185.19—	—	-$4.65Timeline
Next Mythos-Class Model released by October 31, 2026? No positionClosed	95.1¢—	8	$7.50—	—	+$0.39Timeline
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? No positionClosed	82.2¢—	122	$100.01—	—	+$21.58Timeline
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	79.0¢—	525	$414.76—	—	-$414.76Timeline
Will Seattle have more than 5 inches of precipitation in April? No positionClosed	99.5¢—	28	$27.43—	—	+$0.14Timeline

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See collateral enter and leave a tracked Polymarket wallet.

pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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@topchews

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@topchews

Why this trader grades C

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