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@tonytony11

Expert in

First trade Nov 30, 20250x46f0…ebe0View on PolymarketUpdated 16h ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 30th pct
Edge: 90th pct
Win Rate: 27th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 43rd pct
Track Record: 20th pct

Volume traded

$126,849.68

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

46.7%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$999.98

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-16 18:58:57 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

17 total

Market				To win
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No	27.0¢—	14,656	$3,956.99$3,883.72	$14,655.56	-$73.26Timeline
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? No positionClosed	2.9¢—	35,241	$1,007.90—	—	-$1,011.04Timeline
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? No positionClosed	93.0¢—	13,074	$12,157.91—	—	+$1,863.60Timeline
No airdrop in 2025? No positionClosed	10.6¢—	1,194	$126.49—	—	-$54.43Timeline
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? No positionClosed	75.2¢—	1,713	$1,287.91—	—	-$97.67Timeline
Lighter Airdrop on December 29? No positionClosed	53.0¢—	200	$106—	—	+$4.00Timeline
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? No positionClosed	20.6¢—	13,239	$2,727.33—	—	-$1,128.04Timeline
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch? No positionClosed	86.0¢—	1,050	$903—	—	+$50.39Timeline
Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch? No positionClosed	74.0¢—	1	$1—	—	+$0.35Timeline
Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch? No positionClosed	65.0¢—	12	$7.80—	—	+$3.24Timeline