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@tonton2

Expert in

First trade Feb 20, 20260x33b5…8417View on PolymarketUpdated 5h ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 86th pct
Edge: 80th pct
Win Rate: 26th pct
Max Drawdown: 76th pct
Consistency: 24th pct
Track Record: 44th pct

Volume traded

$184,608.74

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

37.2%

Fees charged: $6.75
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $6.75
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $2,042.52

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-13 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

44 total

Market				To win
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	26.0¢—	392	$101.91—	—	+$112.02Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? No positionClosed	27.6¢—	2,730	$753.64—	—	-$53.81Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? No positionClosed	37.0¢—	1,802	$666.71—	—	-$162.17Timeline
Netanyahu out by March 31? No positionClosed	3.3¢—	12,126	$400.16—	—	-$291.02Timeline
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? No positionClosed	13.0¢—	500	$65—	—	-$30.00Timeline
Netanyahu out by June 30? No positionClosed	17.0¢—	2,096	$355.30—	—	-$145.77Timeline
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No positionClosed	30.0¢—	500	$150—	—	+$15.00Timeline
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? No positionClosed	14.7¢—	500	$73.50—	—	-$10.78Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No positionClosed	28.0¢—	1,000	$280—	—	-$80.00Timeline
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No positionClosed	26.4¢—	6,820	$1,799.72—	—	-$163.65Timeline