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@tinco

Expert in

First trade Nov 5, 20250x995a…a33aView on PolymarketUpdated 10d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 73rd pct
Edge: 23rd pct
Win Rate: 84th pct
Max Drawdown: 64th pct
Consistency: 75th pct
Downside Risk: 67th pct
Track Record: 59th pct

Volume traded

$45,952.35

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

73.3%

Fees charged: $17.48
Fee refunds: $0.45
Fees paid: $17.02
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $111.71

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

91 total

Market				To win
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? No	84.0¢—	29	$24$23.86	$28.57	-$0.14Timeline
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? No positionClosed	74.6¢—	362	$270.27—	—	+$68.71Timeline
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? No positionClosed	31.0¢—	65	$20—	—	-$20.00Timeline
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? No positionClosed	52.0¢—	96	$50—	—	-$50.00Timeline
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? No positionClosed	55.7¢—	98	$54.55—	—	+$24.14Timeline
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? No positionClosed	85.0¢—	59	$50—	—	-$50.00Timeline
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? No positionClosed	57.7¢—	61	$35.09—	—	+$14.83Timeline
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? No positionClosed	77.0¢—	34	$26.14—	—	+$6.00Timeline
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? No positionClosed	52.0¢—	38	$20—	—	-$20.00Timeline
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? No positionClosed	60.0¢—	17	$10—	—	-$10.00Timeline

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See collateral enter and leave a tracked Polymarket wallet.

pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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@tinco

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@tinco

Why this trader grades C

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