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@tedafolayan

Expert in

First trade Mar 6, 20250x9386…e491View on PolymarketUpdated 66d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 60th pct
Edge: 48th pct
Win Rate: 28th pct
Consistency: 23rd pct
Downside Risk: 46th pct
Track Record: 59th pct

Volume traded

$32,837.46

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

34.4%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$6.13

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 11:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

95 total

Market				To win
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No	72.6¢—	—	—$0.73	$0.91	+$0.07Timeline
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No	96.0¢—	—	—$0.58	$0.61	-$0.01Timeline
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? No positionClosed	2.7¢—	7,148	$193—	—	-$1.16Timeline
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	98.2¢—	95	$93—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No positionClosed	98.4¢—	96	$94—	—	+$0.28Timeline
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	91.1¢—	250	$228—	—	+$0.12Timeline
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? No positionClosed	2.7¢—	23,222	$627—	—	+$0.04Timeline
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	2.2¢—	10,455	$230—	—	-$0.42Timeline
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? No positionClosed	1.7¢—	26,543	$451—	—	-$0.56Timeline
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	94.6¢—	114	$108—	—	-$0.11Timeline