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@talvarez

Expert in

First trade Dec 12, 20240xff17…4aaaView on PolymarketUpdated 31d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 65th pct
Edge: 49th pct
Win Rate: 30th pct
Consistency: 53rd pct
Track Record: 39th pct

Volume traded

$1,297.37

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

41.7%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $5.86

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-01-02 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

36 total

Market				To win
Ethereum all time high before 2026? No positionClosed	43.0¢—	8	$3.59—	—	+$4.76Timeline
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31? No positionClosed	57.0¢—	5	$2.79—	—	+$2.10Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 20? No positionClosed	51.0¢—	4	$2—	—	+$0.98Timeline
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? No positionClosed	61.0¢—	7	$4.50—	—	-$4.50Timeline
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13? No positionClosed	31.9¢—	14	$4.58—	—	-$1.46Timeline
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? No positionClosed	58.0¢—	38	$21.78—	—	+$9.15Timeline
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025? No positionClosed	42.0¢—	7	$2.98—	—	-$1.25Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	2	$1.61—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Ethereum hit $4,500 by January 31, 2025? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	3	$2.59—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will USD0++ stabilize again before February? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	20	$20.45—	—	+$0.02Timeline