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@rolandopaco5788

Expert in

First trade Mar 10, 20250x7a9c…cffbView on PolymarketUpdated 55d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 56th pct
Edge: 48th pct
Win Rate: 35th pct
Consistency: 77th pct
Downside Risk: 57th pct
Track Record: 61st pct

Volume traded

$58,623.55

Predictions

103

Rank

—

Win rate

39.2%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$18.90

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-05 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

103 total

Market				To win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? No positionClosed	37.0¢—	857	$317—	—	-$8.72Timeline
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No positionClosed	18.0¢—	1,794	$323—	—	+$1.02Timeline
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No positionClosed	85.0¢—	198	$168—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No positionClosed	3.3¢—	12,333	$407—	—	-$1.51Timeline
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No positionClosed	40.0¢—	905	$362—	—	+$0.00Timeline
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No positionClosed	16.0¢—	1,200	$192—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	98.2¢—	196	$192—	—	+$0.96Timeline
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No positionClosed	71.0¢—	361	$256—	—	+$7.68Timeline
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? YesClosed	47.0¢0.0¢	—	—$0	—	-$9.92Timeline
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No positionClosed	8.0¢—	16,288	$1,303—	—	+$0.00Timeline