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@riohsa

Expert in

First trade Nov 16, 20250x86e9…f028View on PolymarketUpdated 96d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 81st pct
Edge: 56th pct
Win Rate: 73rd pct
Max Drawdown: 70th pct
Consistency: 75th pct
Downside Risk: 83rd pct
Track Record: 52nd pct

Volume traded

$69,185.28

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

65.6%

Fees charged: $20.60
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $20.60
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $757.49

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-13 19:21:49 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

67 total

Market				To win
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? YesClosed	69.0¢$1.00	145	$100$144.93	—	+$0.00Timeline
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? YesClosed	80.0¢$1.00	2,500	$2,000$2,500.38	—	+$0.00Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No positionClosed	94.0¢—	3,042	$2,859.57—	—	-$533.83Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No positionClosed	95.0¢—	2,958	$2,810.53—	—	+$118.04Timeline
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? NoClosed	97.7¢$1.00	20	$20$20.47	—	+$0.00Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No positionClosed	78.0¢—	3,417	$2,665.38—	—	+$586.39Timeline
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? No positionClosed	81.0¢—	137	$111.11—	—	+$16.11Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? No positionClosed	93.0¢—	2,809	$2,612.73—	—	+$228.80Timeline
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? No positionClosed	89.5¢—	2,249	$2,012.99—	—	+$32.95Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? No positionClosed	97.0¢—	1,764	$1,711.34—	—	+$51.34Timeline