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@propy

Expert in

First trade May 12, 20240xefbf…79f6View on PolymarketUpdated 14d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 83rd pct
Edge: 91st pct
Win Rate: 51st pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 32nd pct
Downside Risk: 73rd pct
Track Record: 62nd pct

Volume traded

$56,412.78

Predictions

106

Rank

—

Win rate

49.1%

Fees charged: $1.07
Fee refunds: $0.04
Fees paid: $1.03
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $1,096

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-07-02 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

108 total

Market				To win
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? No positionClosed	6.3¢—	10,097	$635.50—	—	-$40.00Timeline
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No positionClosed	41.6¢—	375	$156.12—	—	-$65.00Timeline
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30? No positionClosed	7.0¢—	150	$10.50—	—	-$10.50Timeline
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No positionClosed	62.0¢—	40	$24.80—	—	+$15.20Timeline
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No positionClosed	5.9¢—	180	$10.62—	—	-$10.62Timeline
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 23? No positionClosed	64.8¢—	31	$20.11—	—	-$20.11Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? No positionClosed	9.0¢—	100	$9—	—	-$9.00Timeline
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? No positionClosed	32.0¢—	180	$57.60—	—	-$57.60Timeline
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings? No positionClosed	73.6¢—	114	$84—	—	+$22.19Timeline
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? No positionClosed	72.0¢—	39	$27.78—	—	+$5.56Timeline