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@potionarcher

Expert in

First trade Feb 11, 20260xd75c…fd4eView on PolymarketUpdated 65d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 83rd pct
Edge: 55th pct
Win Rate: 69th pct
Max Drawdown: 86th pct
Consistency: 97th pct
Downside Risk: 91st pct
Track Record: 73rd pct

Volume traded

$82,578.58

Predictions

199

Rank

—

Win rate

57.3%

Fees charged: $97.58
Fee refunds: $74.77
Fees paid: $22.81
Maker rebates: $13.85
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $1,308.99

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-06-18 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

199 total

Market				To win
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or higher on April 24? No positionClosed	98.3¢—	517	$508—	—	+$8.88Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 24? No positionClosed	2.8¢—	91	$2.55—	—	-$2.55Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on April 8? No positionClosed	85.0¢—	1,205	$1,024.63—	—	+$218.16Timeline
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7? No positionClosed	95.1¢—	1,477	$1,405.21—	—	+$61.11Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 7? No positionClosed	59.3¢—	169	$100—	—	+$39.67Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 7? No positionClosed	92.0¢—	513	$472.15—	—	+$37.15Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 7? No positionClosed	99.0¢—	820	$811—	—	+$8.43Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 7? No positionClosed	12.8¢—	243	$31.14—	—	-$3.81Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 5? No positionClosed	99.5¢—	1,256	$1,250—	—	+$5.80Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 5? No positionClosed	99.2¢—	561	$557.05—	—	+$3.63Timeline