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@parma-dev

Expert in

First trade Apr 5, 20260x6ac1…1828View on PolymarketUpdated 58d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 42nd pct
Edge: 13th pct
Win Rate: 2nd pct
Consistency: 11th pct
Downside Risk: 15th pct
Track Record: 49th pct

Volume traded

$218,806.53

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

1.8%

Fees charged: $8.51
Fee refunds: $6.70
Fees paid: $1.81
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$234.22

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-09 12:03:07 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

57 total

Market				To win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	1.0¢—	4,669,606	$46,696.06—	—	-$13.63Timeline
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	0.6¢—	3,888,889	$23,333.33—	—	-$70.00Timeline
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	17.0¢—	1,039	$176.59—	—	-$0.53Timeline
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	1.4¢—	12,602	$176.43—	—	-$0.35Timeline
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	3.2¢—	5,418	$172.16—	—	-$0.31Timeline
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	1.1¢—	16,033	$176.36—	—	-$0.35Timeline
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	1.4¢—	12,602	$176.43—	—	-$0.18Timeline
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	1.6¢—	11,016	$176.25—	—	-$0.18Timeline
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	1.6¢—	11,016	$176.25—	—	-$0.18Timeline
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	1.1¢—	16,033	$176.36—	—	-$0.18Timeline