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@paranoidman

Expert in

First trade Mar 13, 20260xf295…881eView on PolymarketUpdated 39d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 36th pct
Edge: 10th pct
Win Rate: 39th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 47th pct
Downside Risk: 29th pct
Track Record: 58th pct

Volume traded

$40,195.24

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

42.4%

Fees charged: $262.30
Fee refunds: $197.74
Fees paid: $64.57
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$509.13

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

85 total

Market				To win
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No positionClosed	26.0¢—	148	$38.46—	—	-$3.52Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 4? No positionClosed	99.6¢—	449	$447.26—	—	+$1.34Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4? No positionClosed	88.0¢—	480	$422.40—	—	-$422.40Timeline
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 4? No positionClosed	7.0¢—	1,429	$100—	—	+$1.00Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 4? No positionClosed	12.0¢—	660	$79—	—	-$5.74Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4? No positionClosed	4.7¢—	2,127	$99.99—	—	-$2.46Timeline
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No positionClosed	11.4¢—	877	$100—	—	-$3.72Timeline
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 29? No positionClosed	13.0¢—	769	$100—	—	-$6.00Timeline
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on April 27? No positionClosed	98.0¢—	103	$101—	—	+$2.02Timeline
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 27? No positionClosed	88.0¢—	114	$100—	—	-$9.91Timeline

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See collateral enter and leave a tracked Polymarket wallet.

pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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Wallet funding

See collateral enter and leave a tracked Polymarket wallet.

pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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@paranoidman

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@paranoidman

Why this trader grades D

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