0 followers

@paladin-

Expert in

First trade Jan 11, 20260xf7bc…fb4bView on PolymarketUpdated 17d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 78th pct
Edge: 80th pct
Win Rate: 74th pct
Max Drawdown: 99th pct
Consistency: 2nd pct
Downside Risk: 93rd pct
Track Record: 82nd pct

Volume traded

$13,220.78

Predictions

415

Rank

—

Win rate

59.2%

Fees charged: $192.45
Fee refunds: $155.36
Fees paid: $37.09
Maker rebates: $0.02
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $401.27

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-06 18:54:18 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

415 total

Market				To win
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	1.8¢0.9¢	56	$1$0.47	$55.56	-$0.53Timeline
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? No positionClosed	91.0¢—	5	$5—	—	+$0.25Timeline
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? No positionClosed	10.9¢—	84	$9.17—	—	+$7.04Timeline
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17? No positionClosed	21.0¢—	23	$4.76—	—	-$1.00Timeline
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election? No positionClosed	9.5¢—	17	$1.62—	—	-$1.62Timeline
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%? No positionClosed	68.0¢—	7	$4.75—	—	+$0.48Timeline
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? No positionClosed	70.0¢—	7	$5—	—	-$2.05Timeline
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats? No positionClosed	57.0¢—	9	$4.95—	—	-$2.52Timeline
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? No positionClosed	61.0¢—	14	$8.31—	—	-$2.99Timeline
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? No positionClosed	27.8¢—	80	$22.28—	—	-$3.88Timeline