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@oscart

Expert in

First trade Oct 14, 20250x4d41…b115View on PolymarketUpdated 47d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 81st pct
Edge: 70th pct
Win Rate: 80th pct
Max Drawdown: 78th pct
Consistency: 82nd pct
Downside Risk: 85th pct
Track Record: 57th pct

Volume traded

$70,870.18

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

69.5%

Fees charged: $26.51
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $26.51
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $829.30

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-01 06:22:43 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

82 total

Market				To win
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? No positionClosed	89.0¢—	19	$16.85—	—	+$1.85Timeline
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? No positionClosed	88.0¢—	30	$26.14—	—	-$7.06Timeline
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No positionClosed	96.6¢—	54	$51.78—	—	+$1.78Timeline
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15? No positionClosed	87.0¢—	264	$229.76—	—	-$28.46Timeline
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026? No positionClosed	90.0¢—	617	$555.31—	—	-$28.59Timeline
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026? No positionClosed	95.5¢—	1,316	$1,256.78—	—	-$60.96Timeline
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026? No positionClosed	84.0¢—	284	$238.14—	—	-$17.43Timeline
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? No positionClosed	79.9¢—	313	$250.38—	—	-$7.21Timeline
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31? No positionClosed	96.9¢—	2,131	$2,064.64—	—	+$64.64Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No positionClosed	15.3¢—	19,753	$3,022.22—	—	-$399.49Timeline