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@numerology

Expert in

First trade Feb 3, 20260xabd3…637fView on PolymarketUpdated 52d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 33rd pct
Edge: 77th pct
Win Rate: 65th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 68th pct
Downside Risk: 51st pct
Track Record: 57th pct

Volume traded

$15,696.25

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

59.0%

Fees charged: $138.68
Fee refunds: $22.98
Fees paid: $115.70
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$764.01

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-03 23:00:25 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

87 total

Market				To win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes	59.0¢20.5¢	508	$300$104.24	$508.47	-$195.76Timeline
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? NoClosed	38.0¢0.0¢	263	$100$0	—	+$0.00Timeline
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? YesClosed	67.8¢$1.00	147	$100$147.48	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? YesClosed	92.5¢$1.00	108	$100$108.11	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will England win on 2026-07-18? No positionClosed	39.0¢—	66	$25.64—	—	+$15.64Timeline
France vs. England: Team to Win No positionClosed	46.2¢—	164	$75.69—	—	+$40.69Timeline
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No positionClosed	55.0¢—	66	$36.36—	—	-$20.00Timeline
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	36.2¢—	763	$276.24—	—	+$176.24Timeline
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance No positionClosed	12.4¢—	973	$120.82—	—	-$15.00Timeline
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No positionClosed	51.0¢—	77	$39.22—	—	+$19.22Timeline