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@notthecoldplayguy

Expert in

First trade Feb 13, 20260xfce1…e4abView on PolymarketUpdated 17d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 31st pct
Edge: 70th pct
Win Rate: 37th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 2nd pct
Downside Risk: 26th pct
Track Record: 82nd pct

Volume traded

$48,841.17

Predictions

415

Rank

—

Win rate

36.3%

Fees charged: $0.44
Fee refunds: $0.36
Fees paid: $0.07
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$914.75

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

415 total

Market				To win
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	46.0¢40.5¢	11	$5$4.40	$10.87	-$0.60Timeline
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	29.0¢23.7¢	10	$3$2.45	$10.34	-$0.55Timeline
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	46.0¢—	11	$5$4.40	$10.87	-$0.60Timeline
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw? No positionClosed	16.5¢—	250	$41.34—	—	-$6.83Timeline
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs No positionClosed	32.5¢—	109	$35.37—	—	-$1.23Timeline
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 8 straight weeks? No positionClosed	8.0¢—	156	$12.50—	—	-$1.00Timeline
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 153.5 No positionClosed	49.0¢—	31	$15.22—	—	-$1.07Timeline
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000? No positionClosed	24.0¢—	35	$8.33—	—	+$6.33Timeline
Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Karolina Muchova No positionClosed	7.0¢—	242	$16.97—	—	-$1.19Timeline
Will Carnival Corporation (CCL) beat quarterly earnings? No positionClosed	22.0¢—	62	$13.64—	—	-$3.00Timeline