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@nonya3

Expert in

First trade May 14, 20260x58b9…3e6eView on PolymarketUpdated 24d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 68th pct
Edge: 23rd pct
Win Rate: 14th pct
Max Drawdown: 81st pct
Consistency: 85th pct
Track Record: 15th pct

Volume traded

$1,583.45

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

36.4%

Fees charged: $11.33
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $11.33
Maker rebates: $1.51
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $16.40

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-06-10 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

11 total

Market				To win
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No positionClosed	71.0¢—	12	$8.45—	—	-$0.18Timeline
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? No positionClosed	34.4¢—	683	$234.52—	—	+$40.89Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? No positionClosed	55.4¢—	266	$147.69—	—	-$3.03Timeline
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17? No positionClosed	17.2¢—	539	$92.53—	—	-$7.24Timeline
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? No positionClosed	60.0¢—	92	$55.15—	—	-$8.68Timeline
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? No positionClosed	62.5¢—	151	$94.09—	—	+$6.80Timeline
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? No positionClosed	48.0¢—	23	$11.11—	—	+$0.38Timeline
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? No positionClosed	71.0¢—	36	$25.35—	—	-$12.11Timeline
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31? No positionClosed	21.0¢—	408	$85.71—	—	-$1.00Timeline
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? No positionClosed	21.7¢—	384	$83.11—	—	-$1.15Timeline