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@neverwrong54

Expert in

First trade Mar 19, 20260xe990…50f1View on PolymarketUpdated 63d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 44th pct
Edge: 4th pct
Win Rate: 63rd pct
Consistency: 65th pct
Downside Risk: 62nd pct
Track Record: 73rd pct

Volume traded

$191,087.69

Predictions

251

Rank

—

Win rate

53.9%

Fees charged: $78.52
Fee refunds: $6.53
Fees paid: $71.99
Maker rebates: $4.40
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$173.42

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

251 total

Market				To win
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? Yes	15.0¢7.5¢	—	—$0.02	$0.20	-$0.02Timeline
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	1.6¢1.6¢	—	—$0.01	$0.86	-$0.00Timeline
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? Yes	13.5¢5.0¢	—	—$0.04	$0.87	-$0.07Timeline
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	8.3¢14.6¢	—	—$0.12	$0.84	+$0.05Timeline
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes	17.4¢10.5¢	—	—$0.07	$0.70	-$0.05Timeline
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes	19.0¢16.0¢	—	—$0.04	$0.24	-$0.01Timeline
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes	24.9¢20.5¢	—	—$0.14	$0.68	-$0.03Timeline
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	0.9¢1.1¢	—	—$0	$0.31	+$0.00Timeline
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes	15.4¢6.5¢	—	—$0.01	$0.13	-$0.01Timeline
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes	14.3¢10.5¢	—	—$0.05	$0.52	-$0.02Timeline