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@neoniks

Expert in

First trade Apr 20, 20260x9214…a803View on PolymarketUpdated 74d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 81st pct
Edge: 12th pct
Win Rate: 59th pct
Max Drawdown: 66th pct
Consistency: 88th pct
Track Record: 41st pct

Volume traded

$61,201.49

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

60.5%

Fees charged: $232.09
Fee refunds: $29.54
Fees paid: $202.56
Maker rebates: $32.98
Taker rebates: $2.32
Net realized P&L: $744.93

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-05 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

40 total

Market				To win
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m? YesClosed	60.0¢0.0¢	3,583	$2,149.54$0	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m? No positionClosed	82.6¢—	1,378	$1,138.64—	—	+$174.89Timeline
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m? No positionClosed	67.3¢—	2,551	$1,716.21—	—	-$867.65Timeline
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m? YesClosed	65.0¢$1.00	4	$2.92$4.49	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? No positionClosed	91.5¢—	1,195	$1,093.19—	—	+$93.19Timeline
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? No positionClosed	89.0¢—	13	$11.24—	—	-$10.00Timeline
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m? No positionClosed	80.0¢—	469	$375—	—	+$75.00Timeline
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m? No positionClosed	60.9¢—	836	$508.79—	—	+$199.11Timeline
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? No positionClosed	79.6¢—	4,733	$3,766.81—	—	+$314.84Timeline
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? No positionClosed	47.2¢—	899	$424.02—	—	-$56.86Timeline