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@nbrb1

Expert in

First trade Jan 27, 20260xa302…74e8View on PolymarketUpdated 60d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 77th pct
Edge: 42nd pct
Win Rate: 48th pct
Max Drawdown: 83rd pct
Consistency: 53rd pct
Downside Risk: 85th pct
Track Record: 74th pct

Volume traded

$78,799.16

Predictions

228

Rank

—

Win rate

44.5%

Fees charged: $157.56
Fee refunds: $146.10
Fees paid: $11.46
Maker rebates: $2.65
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $285.81

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

228 total

Market				To win
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes	43.0¢5.5¢	11	$4.73$0.61	$11	-$4.13Timeline
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March? No positionClosed	5.7¢—	1,400	$79.80—	—	-$79.80Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No positionClosed	32.5¢—	744	$242—	—	+$14.28Timeline
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	1.8¢—	1,956	$36—	—	-$36.00Timeline
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? No positionClosed	0.2¢—	9,990	$19.98—	—	-$19.98Timeline
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	0.4¢—	52,470	$188.89—	—	-$186.30Timeline
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? No positionClosed	1.2¢—	1,000	$12—	—	-$12.00Timeline
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in March? No positionClosed	1.4¢—	2,500	$35—	—	-$35.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET No positionClosed	46.1¢—	67	$30.92—	—	+$16.67Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET No positionClosed	35.0¢—	49	$17—	—	-$5.95Timeline