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@mrbirddev

Expert in

First trade Feb 18, 20250x984c…ac7eView on PolymarketUpdated 93d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 57th pct
Edge: 63rd pct
Win Rate: 27th pct
Consistency: 27th pct
Downside Risk: 45th pct
Track Record: 59th pct

Volume traded

$38,507.97

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

33.7%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$13.48

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 16:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

94 total

Market				To win
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? No	98.4¢—	1	$0.98$0.99	$1	+$0.00Timeline
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No	97.8¢—	4	$3.91$3.93	$4	+$0.02Timeline
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	91.1¢—	318	$290—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No positionClosed	96.6¢—	298	$288—	—	+$0.29Timeline
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? NoClosed	6.1¢0.0¢	1,319	$1,301$0	—	+$2.08Timeline
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? No positionClosed	1.6¢—	39,438	$631—	—	-$0.16Timeline
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	97.3¢—	253	$246—	—	-$0.07Timeline
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No positionClosed	97.2¢—	147	$143—	—	+$0.14Timeline
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	4.6¢—	3,500	$161—	—	-$0.16Timeline
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No positionClosed	98.4¢—	198	$195—	—	+$0.00Timeline