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@money.tree

Expert in

First trade Nov 22, 20250x941b…e07dView on PolymarketUpdated 59d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 21st pct
Edge: 12th pct
Win Rate: 29th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 46th pct
Track Record: 33rd pct

Volume traded

$110,132.44

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

42.9%

Fees charged: $2.26
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $2.26
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$2,199.74

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-26 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

28 total

Market				To win
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	49.3¢—	808	$398.43—	—	-$1,131.98Timeline
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? No positionClosed	71.5¢—	7,050	$5,039.87—	—	-$1,519.66Timeline
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? No positionClosed	76.0¢—	92	$70—	—	+$5.42Timeline
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? No positionClosed	23.0¢—	308	$70.84—	—	-$5.07Timeline
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	56.6¢—	3,383	$1,914.64—	—	-$36.06Timeline
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? No positionClosed	42.8¢—	2,327	$997—	—	+$569.89Timeline
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026? No positionClosed	52.3¢—	1,909	$997.78—	—	-$521.51Timeline
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end? No positionClosed	35.0¢—	852	$298.01—	—	+$23.33Timeline
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	88.5¢—	861	$762—	—	+$3.73Timeline
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	11.0¢—	11,173	$1,229—	—	-$24.58Timeline