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@mofes

Expert in

First trade May 2, 20250xb9a2…3c63View on PolymarketUpdated 51d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 60th pct
Edge: 17th pct
Win Rate: 89th pct
Consistency: 9th pct
Downside Risk: 47th pct
Track Record: 54th pct

Volume traded

$1,604.03

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

80.6%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$5.78

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-04-02 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

72 total

Market				To win
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15? No positionClosed	93.0¢—	1	$1.08—	—	+$0.08Timeline
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? No positionClosed	97.6¢—	1	$1.02—	—	+$0.02Timeline
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? No positionClosed	89.0¢—	1	$1.12—	—	+$0.12Timeline
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026? No positionClosed	71.0¢—	1	$1—	—	-$1.00Timeline
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? No positionClosed	97.0¢—	1	$1.03—	—	+$0.03Timeline
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16? No positionClosed	94.0¢—	1	$1.06—	—	+$0.06Timeline
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	4	$2—	—	+$1.00Timeline
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? No positionClosed	96.6¢—	1	$1.04—	—	+$0.04Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? No positionClosed	89.0¢—	1	$1.12—	—	+$0.12Timeline
Israel strikes Iran by November 30? No positionClosed	96.7¢—	1	$1.03—	—	+$0.03Timeline