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@minorchange

Expert in

First trade Jan 23, 20260x5925…d887View on PolymarketUpdated 63d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 80th pct
Edge: 93rd pct
Win Rate: 11th pct
Max Drawdown: 96th pct
Consistency: 83rd pct
Downside Risk: 76th pct
Track Record: 56th pct

Volume traded

$28,719.39

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

19.2%

Fees charged: $19.98
Fee refunds: $17.56
Fees paid: $2.42
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $565.88

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

78 total

Market				To win
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	76.0¢—	34	$25.91—	—	-$9.09Timeline
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? No positionClosed	43.0¢—	49	$20.97—	—	-$0.75Timeline
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026? No positionClosed	41.0¢—	65	$26.47—	—	-$1.06Timeline
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No positionClosed	62.0¢—	13	$8.06—	—	-$1.45Timeline
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa? No positionClosed	53.0¢—	18	$9.43—	—	-$0.28Timeline
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No positionClosed	31.6¢—	50	$15.82—	—	-$0.24Timeline
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12? No positionClosed	47.0¢—	36	$17—	—	-$0.60Timeline
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? No positionClosed	36.4¢—	33	$12—	—	-$1.39Timeline
Will Betmoar launch a token by March 31, 2027? No positionClosed	68.0¢—	11	$7.35—	—	-$4.34Timeline
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? No positionClosed	68.0¢—	11	$7.35—	—	-$0.37Timeline