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@mdji1988

Expert in

First trade Jan 15, 20260xce89…6ea5View on PolymarketUpdated 58d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 6th pct
Edge: 8th pct
Win Rate: 32nd pct
Consistency: 62nd pct
Downside Risk: 30th pct
Track Record: 47th pct

Volume traded

$190,515.54

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

41.2%

Fees charged: $17.48
Fee refunds: $16.04
Fees paid: $1.44
Maker rebates: $0.40
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$14,027.18

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-07-02 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

51 total

Market				To win
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? No positionClosed	14.8¢—	500	$73.80—	—	-$73.80Timeline
US forces enter Iran by March 31? No positionClosed	28.5¢—	200	$57—	—	-$57.00Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? No positionClosed	4.6¢—	6,045	$279.29—	—	-$321.38Timeline
US forces enter Iran by March 14? No positionClosed	7.1¢—	412	$29.30—	—	-$29.30Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No positionClosed	40.0¢—	1,250	$500—	—	-$89.77Timeline
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? No positionClosed	79.8¢—	2,652	$2,116.43—	—	-$414.25Timeline
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? No positionClosed	95.0¢—	4,432	$4,210.53—	—	-$235.67Timeline
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026? No positionClosed	25.9¢—	114	$29.45—	—	-$433.65Timeline
Will US or Israel strike Iran first? No positionClosed	69.3¢—	208	$144.38—	—	-$13.09Timeline
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? No positionClosed	94.7¢—	422	$400—	—	+$13.20Timeline