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@marigny

Expert in

First trade Mar 14, 20260x1dc6…9c0eView on PolymarketUpdated 126d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 29th pct
Edge: 20th pct
Win Rate: 52nd pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 99th pct
Downside Risk: 26th pct
Track Record: 75th pct

Volume traded

$22,862.65

Predictions

239

Rank

—

Win rate

47.1%

Fees charged: $27.90
Fee refunds: $7.84
Fees paid: $20.06
Maker rebates: $1.23
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$1,085.92

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

239 total

Market				To win
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	7.1¢4.9¢	18,348	$1,295.65$889.88	$18,348.13	-$405.77Timeline
Hurricanes vs. Senators No positionClosed	59.0¢—	29	$16.95—	—	+$6.95Timeline
Cavaliers vs. Raptors No positionClosed	61.0¢—	27	$16.39—	—	-$10.00Timeline
Knicks vs. Hawks No positionClosed	54.0¢—	17	$9.26—	—	+$4.26Timeline
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims) No positionClosed	52.0¢—	18	$9.62—	—	-$5.00Timeline
Avalanche vs. Kings No positionClosed	60.0¢—	14	$8.33—	—	+$3.33Timeline
Knicks vs. Hawks No positionClosed	51.2¢—	23	$11.73—	—	-$6.00Timeline
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves No positionClosed	56.0¢—	3	$1.79—	—	-$1.00Timeline
Cavaliers vs. Raptors No positionClosed	59.0¢—	3	$1.69—	—	-$1.00Timeline
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23? No positionClosed	27.0¢—	137	$37.04—	—	-$9.78Timeline