0 followers

@lukahub

Expert in

First trade Apr 22, 20260x29e0…9a86View on PolymarketUpdated 52d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 87th pct
Edge: 28th pct
Win Rate: 30th pct
Max Drawdown: 84th pct
Consistency: 83rd pct
Downside Risk: 87th pct
Track Record: 62nd pct

Volume traded

$144,105.81

Predictions

108

Rank

—

Win rate

35.2%

Fees charged: $385.45
Fee refunds: $32.59
Fees paid: $352.86
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $2.59
Net realized P&L: $2,618.58

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-13 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

108 total

Market				To win
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET No positionClosed	22.0¢—	18	$4—	—	-$4.00Timeline
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by August 14? No positionClosed	62.3¢—	2,680	$1,670.16—	—	+$27.91Timeline
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? No positionClosed	49.6¢—	2,092	$1,037.30—	—	-$485.78Timeline
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	29.6¢—	27,750	$8,226.99—	—	-$318.04Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET No positionClosed	52.3¢—	91	$47.78—	—	-$25.00Timeline
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No positionClosed	57.0¢—	26,752	$15,248.84—	—	+$1,694.18Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET No positionClosed	47.0¢—	113	$53.19—	—	-$25.00Timeline
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	18.7¢—	4,388	$820.47—	—	+$196.70Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET No positionClosed	22.0¢—	62	$13.64—	—	-$3.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET No positionClosed	98.0¢—	165	$161.26—	—	-$0.20Timeline