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@luciferawp

Expert in

First trade Aug 14, 20250x1469…aa70View on PolymarketUpdated 23d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 79th pct
Edge: 11th pct
Win Rate: 46th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 62nd pct
Downside Risk: 79th pct
Track Record: 51st pct

Volume traded

$17,963.96

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

49.2%

Fees charged: $47.35
Fee refunds: $6.14
Fees paid: $41.21
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $528.13

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-06-20 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

63 total

Market				To win
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	74.0¢—	14	$10—	—	-$2.64Timeline
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	87.2¢—	7,232	$6,307.48—	—	+$805.50Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET No positionClosed	65.6¢—	572	$375.34—	—	-$84.65Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET No positionClosed	52.4¢—	153	$80—	—	-$80.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET No positionClosed	58.0¢—	69	$40—	—	-$40.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET No positionClosed	35.2¢—	57	$20—	—	-$20.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET No positionClosed	19.9¢—	100	$20—	—	-$20.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET No positionClosed	58.0¢—	17	$10—	—	-$10.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET No positionClosed	83.9¢—	14	$12.07—	—	+$1.82Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET No positionClosed	85.9¢—	68	$58.82—	—	+$8.30Timeline

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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Wallet funding

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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@luciferawp

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@luciferawp

Why this trader grades C

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