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@linsen

Expert in

First trade Jun 16, 20260x2be6…8ae5View on PolymarketUpdated 16d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 44th pct
Edge: 51st pct
Win Rate: 24th pct
Max Drawdown: 66th pct
Consistency: 65th pct
Track Record: 4th pct

Volume traded

$48,994.71

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

60.0%

Fees charged: $4.97
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $4.97
Maker rebates: $3.41
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$169.97

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-13 10:06:34 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

14 total

Market				To win
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No	90.7¢—	10,800	$9,792.89$10,097.98	$10,799.98	+$305.09Timeline
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No	88.0¢—	4,000	$3,520$3,738	$4,000	+$218.00Timeline
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No	89.5¢—	2,400	$2,147.98$2,244	$2,400	+$96.02Timeline
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? No	72.2¢—	2,400	$1,732.99$2,300.40	$2,400	+$567.41Timeline
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No	60.0¢—	774	$464.27$630.64	$773.79	+$166.36Timeline
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No	76.4¢—	2,200	$1,681$2,046	$2,200	+$365.00Timeline
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No	88.0¢—	3,300	$2,904$3,019.50	$3,300	+$115.50Timeline
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No	93.3¢—	3,144	$2,933$3,022.59	$3,143.62	+$89.60Timeline
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No	94.2¢—	1,100	$1,036.20$1,059.85	$1,100	+$23.65Timeline
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? No positionClosed	7.9¢—	9,505	$749.95—	—	-$749.95Timeline