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@lanhua

Expert in

First trade Nov 21, 20240x85d5…1d99View on PolymarketUpdated 52d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 40th pct
Edge: 34th pct
Win Rate: 11th pct
Consistency: 73rd pct
Track Record: 12th pct

Volume traded

$78,322.05

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

33.3%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$318.51

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

11 total

Market				To win
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No	64.9¢—	49	$31.80$22.32	$49	-$9.48Timeline
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No	73.0¢—	60	$43.80$51.30	$60	+$7.50Timeline
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? No positionClosed	66.0¢—	167	$110—	—	-$1.10Timeline
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	77.3¢—	36,198	$27,981—	—	-$27.98Timeline
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No positionClosed	82.0¢—	6,299	$5,165—	—	-$154.95Timeline
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West? No positionClosed	78.0¢—	7,115	$5,550—	—	-$166.50Timeline
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No positionClosed	1.4¢—	7,143	$100—	—	+$0.40Timeline
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31? No positionClosed	43.0¢—	50	$21.50—	—	-$21.50Timeline
Bucks vs. Pistons No positionClosed	63.0¢—	176	$111.11—	—	+$41.11Timeline
Knicks vs. Hornets No positionClosed	82.0¢—	82	$67.07—	—	+$12.07Timeline