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@kucharx

Expert in

First trade Mar 16, 20260xfdd9…8bbdView on PolymarketUpdated 2d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 57th pct
Edge: 10th pct
Win Rate: 9th pct
Consistency: 8th pct
Downside Risk: 26th pct
Track Record: 57th pct

Volume traded

$1,017.08

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

17.1%

Fees charged: $6.67
Fee refunds: $5.79
Fees paid: $0.88
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$13.01

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

86 total

Market				To win
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	1.7¢2.0¢	20	$0.34$0.39	$20	+$0.05Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026? No positionClosed	5.9¢—	18	$1.05—	—	+$1.09Timeline
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch? No positionClosed	1.9¢—	56	$1.07—	—	-$1.07Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET No positionClosed	20.1¢—	5	$1.06—	—	-$1.06Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET No positionClosed	15.9¢—	7	$1.06—	—	-$1.06Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET No positionClosed	34.5¢—	3	$1.05—	—	-$1.05Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET No positionClosed	36.6¢—	3	$1.05—	—	+$0.53Timeline
Netanyahu out by April 30? No positionClosed	4.3¢—	20	$0.86—	—	-$0.86Timeline
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26? No positionClosed	75.0¢—	10	$7.50—	—	+$2.50Timeline
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31? No positionClosed	1.7¢—	60	$1—	—	-$1.00Timeline