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@kira.eth

Expert in

First trade Dec 28, 20250xbe7e…9c6bView on PolymarketUpdated 29d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 40th pct
Edge: 44th pct
Win Rate: 80th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 28th pct
Track Record: 46th pct

Volume traded

$9,504.90

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

72.9%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$299.99

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-21 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

48 total

Market				To win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? No positionClosed	69.0¢—	168	$115.94—	—	-$0.00Timeline
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No positionClosed	48.5¢—	604	$292.86—	—	+$30.79Timeline
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? No positionClosed	13.1¢—	612	$80—	—	-$80.00Timeline
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No positionClosed	43.0¢—	541	$232.56—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? No positionClosed	51.0¢—	308	$156.86—	—	-$39.21Timeline
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards? No positionClosed	84.7¢—	140	$118.12—	—	-$99.88Timeline
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards? No positionClosed	77.9¢—	247	$192.55—	—	+$39.28Timeline
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards? No positionClosed	30.0¢—	333	$100—	—	+$25.00Timeline
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31? No positionClosed	83.1¢—	145	$120.28—	—	+$14.27Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? No positionClosed	74.0¢—	110	$81.08—	—	+$14.59Timeline