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@kapos

Expert in

First trade Nov 3, 20240x1997…5207View on PolymarketUpdated 23d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 83rd pct
Edge: 18th pct
Win Rate: 78th pct
Max Drawdown: 95th pct
Consistency: 60th pct
Downside Risk: 94th pct
Track Record: 60th pct

Volume traded

$46,376.14

Predictions

103

Rank

—

Win rate

67.3%

Fees charged: $1.08
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $1.08
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $1,193.85

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-07-08 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

98 total

Market				To win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 28? No positionClosed	5.2¢—	3,462	$180—	—	-$9.36Timeline
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30? No positionClosed	96.5¢—	561	$541—	—	+$8.76Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 28? No positionClosed	99.4¢—	473	$470—	—	+$2.82Timeline
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? No positionClosed	9.0¢—	17,789	$1,601—	—	-$16.01Timeline
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? No positionClosed	60.0¢—	25	$15—	—	+$6.00Timeline
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? No positionClosed	0.1¢—	2,000	$2—	—	-$2.00Timeline
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? No positionClosed	83.4¢—	7	$6.02—	—	+$1.00Timeline
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca No positionClosed	69.6¢—	6	$4.35—	—	-$3.03Timeline
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse No positionClosed	74.6¢—	9	$6.76—	—	+$1.72Timeline
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A No positionClosed	85.0¢—	1	$1.18—	—	+$0.18Timeline