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@kaoshi

Expert in

First trade Dec 9, 20240x9a53…dcaeView on PolymarketUpdated 59d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 79th pct
Edge: 62nd pct
Win Rate: 19th pct
Max Drawdown: 81st pct
Consistency: 60th pct
Track Record: 17th pct

Volume traded

$64,547.63

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

41.7%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $520.70

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-06-22 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

12 total

Market				To win
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	82.0¢—	67	$54.99—	—	+$5.10Timeline
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? No positionClosed	65.0¢—	43	$28—	—	-$0.56Timeline
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? No positionClosed	75.3¢—	31,754	$23,911—	—	+$406.49Timeline
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15? No positionClosed	41.0¢—	12,961	$5,314—	—	+$53.14Timeline
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No positionClosed	77.6¢—	3,527	$2,737—	—	+$52.00Timeline
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? No positionClosed	66.8¢—	40	$26.95—	—	+$8.95Timeline
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the Romanian presidential election? NoClosed	99.9¢$1.00	55	$54.58$0	—	-$0.05Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $91000 and $93000 on Mar 14? No positionClosed	1.7¢—	3,460	$58.82—	—	-$1.00Timeline
Will another party win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election? NoClosed	99.6¢$1.00	56	$55.80$0	—	-$0.06Timeline
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? NoClosed	73.0¢$1.00	59	$43.15$0	—	-$3.02Timeline