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@johnfot

Expert in

First trade Feb 1, 20260x3135…5c82View on PolymarketUpdated 12d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 41st pct
Edge: 26th pct
Win Rate: 71st pct
Consistency: 13th pct
Downside Risk: 24th pct
Track Record: 63rd pct

Volume traded

$32,448.70

Predictions

120

Rank

—

Win rate

61.1%

Fees charged: $325.12
Fee refunds: $260.88
Fees paid: $64.24
Maker rebates: $0.06
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$267.88

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

120 total

Market				To win
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	27.7¢14.8¢	108	$30$15.99	$108.43	-$14.01Timeline
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	46.2¢50.1¢	87	$40$43.42	$86.58	+$3.42Timeline
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	54.0¢30.5¢	56	$30$16.94	$55.56	-$13.06Timeline
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No	91.8¢—	11	$10$10.52	$10.89	+$0.52Timeline
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No	98.3¢—	10	$10$10.05	$10.17	+$0.05Timeline
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No	95.7¢—	8	$8$8.35	$8.36	+$0.35Timeline
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	53.0¢55.5¢	19	$10$10.47	$18.87	+$0.47Timeline
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? No positionClosed	53.0¢—	94	$50—	—	-$51.17Timeline
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? No positionClosed	68.0¢—	7	$5—	—	+$2.29Timeline
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? No positionClosed	69.8¢—	29	$20—	—	+$8.41Timeline