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@ironsides

Expert in

First trade Dec 17, 20250xf8a7…6d1dView on PolymarketUpdated 4d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 75th pct
Edge: 82nd pct
Win Rate: 56th pct
Max Drawdown: 66th pct
Consistency: 91st pct
Track Record: 28th pct

Volume traded

$1,183.97

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

63.6%

Fees charged: $4.22
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $4.22
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $173.20

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-07-22 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

22 total

Market				To win
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	19.8¢—	100	$19.80—	—	-$19.80Timeline
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	12.6¢—	200	$25.20—	—	-$25.20Timeline
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	14.3¢—	1,404	$200—	—	+$171.48Timeline
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5 No positionClosed	48.7¢—	10	$5—	—	+$2.56Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET No positionClosed	72.4¢—	10	$7.04—	—	+$1.94Timeline
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies No positionClosed	56.0¢—	50	$28—	—	-$28.00Timeline
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever No positionClosed	51.7¢—	39	$20—	—	+$9.65Timeline
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics No positionClosed	56.7¢—	35	$20—	—	+$8.65Timeline
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies No positionClosed	54.0¢—	20	$10.80—	—	-$10.80Timeline
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? No positionClosed	77.0¢—	20	$15.40—	—	-$15.40Timeline