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@hdm656151

Expert in

First trade Apr 7, 20260x8110…fd53View on PolymarketUpdated 3d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 74th pct
Edge: 89th pct
Win Rate: 83rd pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 71st pct
Downside Risk: 67th pct
Track Record: 77th pct

Volume traded

$11,386.68

Predictions

303

Rank

—

Win rate

67.5%

Fees charged: $58.32
Fee refunds: $1.47
Fees paid: $56.85
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $130.92

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-14 00:57:18 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

307 total

Market				To win
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes	16.8¢5.5¢	60	$10$3.28	$59.60	-$6.72Timeline
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No	91.0¢—	110	$100$97.25	$109.89	-$2.75Timeline
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	44.6¢2.7¢	22	$10$0.59	$22.42	-$9.41Timeline
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	21.4¢16.7¢	47	$10$7.78	$46.73	-$2.22Timeline
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	38.6¢51.3¢	26	$10$13.28	$25.91	+$3.28Timeline
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes	25.0¢4.4¢	40	$10$1.74	$40	-$8.26Timeline
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? No positionClosed	71.0¢—	29	$20.30—	—	+$8.27Timeline
Alexander Zverev vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 3.5 No positionClosed	72.0¢—	28	$20.29—	—	+$7.88Timeline
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina No positionClosed	60.2¢—	101	$60.57—	—	-$1.76Timeline
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12? No positionClosed	87.6¢—	23	$20.13—	—	+$2.86Timeline