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@glavy

Expert in

First trade Nov 19, 20250x912a…8b22View on PolymarketUpdated 18d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 9th pct
Edge: 38th pct
Win Rate: 5th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 15th pct
Downside Risk: 30th pct
Track Record: 47th pct

Volume traded

$73,642.38

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

9.8%

Fees charged: $1,126.41
Fee refunds: $1,037.49
Fees paid: $88.92
Maker rebates: $18.66
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$8,584.17

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-05-13 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

51 total

Market				To win
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? No positionClosed	48.0¢—	208	$100—	—	-$5.40Timeline
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No positionClosed	80.0¢—	125	$100—	—	-$4.00Timeline
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No positionClosed	92.0¢—	1,087	$1,000—	—	-$3.98Timeline
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No positionClosed	9.0¢—	5,441	$489.71—	—	-$5.34Timeline
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? No positionClosed	95.2¢—	82	$78—	—	-$1.87Timeline
WTT - Men's Singles: Hiroto Shinozuka vs Man Ho Kwan No positionClosed	12.0¢—	833	$100—	—	-$4.00Timeline
Sarasota: Stefan Dostanic vs Alex Rybakov No positionClosed	41.0¢—	4,538	$1,860.66—	—	-$165.78Timeline
Galatasaray vs. La Laguna Tenerife No positionClosed	50.0¢—	1,000	$500—	—	-$19.91Timeline
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-08? YesClosed	51.0¢0.0¢	6	$39.72$0	—	-$0.24Timeline
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-08? No positionClosed	56.0¢—	3,571	$2,000—	—	-$53.90Timeline