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@garbagecollect3

Expert in

First trade Mar 12, 20260x238f…3015View on PolymarketUpdated 1d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 82nd pct
Edge: 41st pct
Win Rate: 64th pct
Max Drawdown: 86th pct
Consistency: 70th pct
Downside Risk: 87th pct
Track Record: 98th pct

Volume traded

$3,745,439.60

Predictions

6,254

Rank

—

Win rate

49.2%

Fees charged: $1,717.09
Fee refunds: $1,168.74
Fees paid: $548.35
Maker rebates: $299.12
Taker rebates: $3.14
Net realized P&L: $890.34

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-16 13:58:06 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

6,042 total

Market				To win
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? No	2.1¢—	90	$1.89$2.07	$90.01	+$0.18Timeline
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? Yes	0.6¢0.4¢	115	$0.69$0.40	$115.05	-$0.29Timeline
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? Yes	3.8¢4.0¢	30	$1.15$1.21	$30.27	+$0.06Timeline
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? Yes	9.1¢7.5¢	5	$0.46$0.37	$5.01	-$0.08Timeline
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes	1.5¢1.5¢	126	$1.89$1.89	$126	+$0.00Timeline
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? Yes	7.0¢7.0¢	27	$1.89$1.89	$27	+$0.00Timeline
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? Yes	2.6¢3.7¢	5	$0.12$0.17	$4.59	+$0.05Timeline
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No	5.5¢—	34	$1.87$1.09	$34	-$0.78Timeline
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No	7.0¢—	3	$0.23$0.14	$3.23	-$0.08Timeline
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes	8.1¢6.0¢	2	$0.17$0.12	$2.04	-$0.04Timeline