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@fireww

Expert in

First trade Oct 16, 20250x588b…c2bdView on PolymarketUpdated 18h ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 82nd pct
Edge: 32nd pct
Win Rate: 46th pct
Max Drawdown: 76th pct
Consistency: 28th pct
Track Record: 39th pct

Volume traded

$12,400.27

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

52.9%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $1,022.97

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-11 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

37 total

Market				To win
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes	68.4¢95.6¢	90	$61.73$86.34	$90.31	+$24.61Timeline
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-08-29? No positionClosed	88.0¢—	10	$8.80—	—	+$1.20Timeline
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? No positionClosed	51.0¢—	250	$127.50—	—	+$122.50Timeline
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? No positionClosed	43.0¢—	150	$64.50—	—	+$85.50Timeline
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? No positionClosed	45.0¢—	178	$80—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-17? No positionClosed	75.0¢—	40	$30—	—	+$10.00Timeline
Blackhawks vs. Rangers No positionClosed	62.0¢—	70	$43.40—	—	+$26.60Timeline
Grizzlies vs. Pacers No positionClosed	52.0¢—	180	$93.60—	—	-$93.60Timeline
Blackhawks vs. Avalanche No positionClosed	76.0¢—	90	$68.40—	—	+$21.60Timeline
Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinals No positionClosed	90.0¢—	50	$45—	—	+$5.00Timeline