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@fernb

Expert in

First trade Mar 15, 20260xd58f…67e3View on PolymarketUpdated 55d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 70th pct
Edge: 93rd pct
Win Rate: 43rd pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 60th pct
Track Record: 18th pct

Volume traded

$1,609.96

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

61.5%

Fees charged: $0.97
Fee refunds: $0.64
Fees paid: $0.34
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $36.34

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

15 total

Market				To win
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	2.0¢2.1¢	1,000	$20$21	$1,000	+$1.00Timeline
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	1.8¢1.5¢	167	$3$2.42	$166.67	-$0.58Timeline
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) No positionClosed	18.0¢—	39	$7—	—	+$5.74Timeline
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? No positionClosed	37.0¢—	81	$30—	—	+$18.90Timeline
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 No positionClosed	65.0¢—	2	$1—	—	-$1.00Timeline
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 No positionClosed	67.0¢—	2	$1.49—	—	+$0.49Timeline
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 No positionClosed	55.0¢—	3	$1.82—	—	+$0.82Timeline
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? No positionClosed	35.1¢—	9	$3—	—	-$3.00Timeline
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? No positionClosed	26.0¢—	74	$19.23—	—	+$14.23Timeline
Hornets vs. Magic No positionClosed	58.0¢—	9	$4.94—	—	-$4.94Timeline