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@ethzk

Expert in

First trade Dec 20, 20240xc284…b514View on PolymarketUpdated 7d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 46th pct
Edge: 21st pct
Win Rate: 18th pct
Consistency: 29th pct
Track Record: 22nd pct

Volume traded

$1,577.14

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

37.5%

Fees charged: $0.82
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0.82
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$133.52

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

18 total

Market				To win
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No	93.0¢—	57	$53$56.36	$56.99	+$3.36Timeline
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	54.0¢50.2¢	11	$6.01$5.59	$11.13	-$0.42Timeline
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No positionClosed	34.1¢—	86	$29.39—	—	-$8.90Timeline
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? No positionClosed	61.2¢—	27	$16.67—	—	-$10.20Timeline
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? No positionClosed	24.5¢—	102	$25—	—	-$6.14Timeline
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? No positionClosed	17.4¢—	138	$24.12—	—	-$4.20Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? No positionClosed	88.0¢—	84	$73.86—	—	+$8.86Timeline
Will Spain win the UEFA Women's Euro? No positionClosed	55.0¢—	344	$189.40—	—	-$104.17Timeline
Will Ethereum reach $3300 in July? No positionClosed	48.0¢—	4	$2.08—	—	+$1.08Timeline
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? No positionClosed	51.0¢—	16	$8.18—	—	+$4.01Timeline