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@estimax

Expert in

First trade Mar 15, 20260x6c82…34acView on PolymarketUpdated 15d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 16th pct
Edge: 15th pct
Win Rate: 19th pct
Consistency: 11th pct
Downside Risk: 30th pct
Track Record: 65th pct

Volume traded

$169,891.53

Predictions

128

Rank

—

Win rate

25.8%

Fees charged: $2,266.93
Fee refunds: $2,002.68
Fees paid: $264.25
Maker rebates: $1.69
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$3,939.79

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

128 total

Market				To win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET No positionClosed	29.6¢—	17	$5—	—	-$5.00Timeline
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23? No positionClosed	8.0¢—	3,125	$250—	—	-$14.94Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET No positionClosed	28.4¢—	112	$31.74—	—	-$31.74Timeline
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? No positionClosed	6.3¢—	2,549	$159.58—	—	-$0.79Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET No positionClosed	13.1¢—	970	$127.19—	—	-$127.19Timeline
Iran Nuke before 2027? No positionClosed	14.0¢—	1,021	$142.86—	—	-$1.43Timeline
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No positionClosed	15.0¢—	889	$133.33—	—	-$1.33Timeline
Netanyahu out by March 31? No positionClosed	3.0¢—	38,889	$1,166.67—	—	-$3.17Timeline
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	3.5¢—	32,019	$1,130.27—	—	-$9.68Timeline
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No positionClosed	28.1¢—	762	$213.85—	—	-$14.05Timeline